Business Today: Halifax warns of ‘challenging period’ for UK housing market; oil prices drop to nine-month low

Business Today
For a limited time, enjoy 30% off an annual digital subscription. Your support protects our vital independence and keeps us free of a paywall. To say thank you, we'll unlock unlimited reading in our quality news app and ad-free reading on all your devices.
Business live
Halifax warns of 'challenging period' for UK housing market; oil prices drop to nine-month low
Live / Halifax warns of 'challenging period' for UK housing market; oil prices drop to nine-month low
Oil prices fall after disappointing trade figures from China, while UK house prices rise modestly in August
Headlines
Energy / Gas drive will not solve crisis, climate advisers tell Liz Truss
Gas drive will not solve crisis, climate advisers tell Liz Truss
Kwasi Kwarteng / Free marketeer and Truss's ideological soulmate becomes chancellor
'Toxic' / Darktrace's future clouded by concerns over culture and fraud case
TUC / UK workers won't be 'mugged off' with low pay any more, says Frances O'Grady
Boots / Retailer launches budget range as UK shoppers cut back in cost of living crisis
Media / Netflix and Amazon cut spend on UK shows as British broadcasters fight back
Pay / More minority ethnic than white workers paid below UK real living wage
US / Uber's ex-security chief faces landmark trial over data breach that hit 57m users
Theranos / Elizabeth Holmes requests new trial, claiming key witness regrets testimony
Supermarkets / Risk of gaps on UK shelves if small firms collapse, food sector warns
Energy / Liz Truss's price freeze could soften UK recession, say economists
Juul / Company to pay $440m after years-long investigation into teen vaping
US / Trouble for Trump's Truth Social as investors back away from cash boost
Explainer / How will Liz Truss help businesses and households with soaring energy bills?
Today's agenda
House prices in the UK rose by 0.4% in August, against a 0.1% drop in July, as Britain's largest mortgage lender Halifax warned of a "more challenging period ahead".

The annual rate of growth eased to 11.5% from 11.8%, suggesting the heat is slowly coming out of the market. Figures from Halifax show a typical UK property now costs a record £294,260. Wales is still showing the strongest annual growth in the UK, at 16.1%, while London recorded its highest annual rate in six years, at 8.8%.

Kim Kinnaird, director of Halifax Mortgages, said: "While house prices have so far proved to be resilient in the face of growing economic uncertainty, industry surveys point towards cooling expectations across the majority of UK regions, as buyer demand eases, and other forward-looking indicators also imply a likely slowdown in market activity.

"Firstly, there is the considerable hit to people's incomes from the cost of living squeeze … While government policy intervention may counter some of these impacts, borrowing costs are also likely to continue to rise, as the Bank of England is widely expected to continue raising interest rates into next year.

"With house price to income affordability ratios already historically high, a more challenging period for house prices should be expected."

Meanwhile, crude oil prices have fallen to their lowest level since before Russia invaded Ukraine in late February, as China's zero Covid policy and expectations of more interest rate rises around the world fuelled concerns over a global recession (which would reduce demand for oil).

Brent crude, the global benchmark, is down $1.56 (£1.36) to $91.27 a barrel, while US light crude has lost $1.68 to $85.2 a barrel.

China's exports and imports lost momentum in August as soaring inflation held back overseas demand and fresh Covid curbs and heatwaves disrupted output. Exports rose 7.1% in August from a year earlier, a big slowdown from July's 18% gain, official customs data showed. Oil imports fell 9.4%.

This led to a smaller trade surplus of $79.4bn compared with $101.3bn in July, which was a record for a single-month goods trade balance for any country.

High energy prices are leaving their mark on German industry. Data shows that industrial production in Europe's biggest economy fell 0.3% in July from the month before, compared with a 0.8% rise in June.

According to the statistical office, the relatively small number of school holidays and holiday leave prevented an even larger decline in production compared with July last year. Production in industry excluding energy and construction was down by 1%.

The agenda
• 
9am BST: Italy retail sales for July
• 10am BST: eurozone second-quarter GDP, third estimate (forecast: 0.6%)
• 1.30pm BST: US trade for July
• 3pm BST: Bank of Canada interest rate decision

We'll be tracking all the main events throughout the day ...
Nils Pratley on finance
Liz Truss's energy bill freeze has virtue of simplicity – but the drawbacks are clear
Liz Truss's energy bill freeze has virtue of simplicity – but the drawbacks are clear
You might also enjoy
Sign up to The Guide
An irreverent look at pop culture, and weekly recommendations for what to watch, listen to and read
Opinion
Analysis / Record of climate denialism indicates how Rees-Mogg will handle energy brief
Record of climate denialism indicates how Rees-Mogg will handle energy brief
Media
Twitter / Elon Musk demands trial delay over whistleblower concerns
Elon Musk demands trial delay over whistleblower concerns
TV / Thomas the Tank Engine to introduce first autistic character
Spotlight
MPs' post-ministerial incomes ranked
Take a junior job and dodge the DWP / MPs' post-ministerial incomes ranked
We rank post-ministerial incomes
How to master social media through storytelling
Tuesday 13 September, 2pm–5.15pm BST
Learn the fundamentals of storytelling for social media with Eleni Stefanou, former social platforms editor for the Guardian, in this hands-on virtual masterclass.
Popular on business
Liz Truss expected to freeze energy bills in tax-funded scheme
Liz Truss expected to freeze energy bills in tax-funded scheme
Liz Truss's energy price freeze could soften UK recession, say economists
Ditch price cap for 'free basic energy' plan to help poorest, report says
'It will be cheaper to close': businesses urge Liz Truss to act fast over soaring bills
TransPennine Express to slash timetable amid staff shortages
Get in touch
If you have any questions or comments about any of our newsletters please email newsletters@theguardian.com
Thank you for turning to the Guardian
Tens of millions have placed their trust in the Guardian's high-impact journalism since we started publishing 200 years ago, turning to us in moments of crisis, uncertainty, solidarity and hope. More than 1.5 million readers, from 180 countries, have recently taken the step to support us financially – keeping us open to all, and fiercely independent.

With no shareholders or billionaire owner, we can set our own agenda and provide trustworthy journalism that's free from commercial and political influence, offering a counterweight to the spread of misinformation. When it's never mattered more, we can investigate and challenge without fear or favour.

For a limited time, we're giving you an exclusive offer: enjoy 30% off an annual digital subscription. If there were ever a time to join us, it is now. Your support protects our vital independence and keeps us free of a paywall. To thank you for your generosity, we'll give you unlimited reading in our quality news app and ad-free reading on all your devices.

You are receiving this email because you are a subscriber to Business Today. Guardian News & Media Limited - a member of Guardian Media Group PLC. Registered Office: Kings Place, 90 York Way, London, N1 9GU. Registered in England No. 908396

Post a Comment

0 Comments