By Jeff Clark, editor, Market Minute Yesterday, I discovered a turkey carcass on the hillside behind my house… It seems coyotes celebrate Thanksgiving too. On the previous morning, I stood on my porch and watched a flock of wild turkeys scratching around my backyard, hunting for whatever it is that turkeys hunt for. It seemed odd to me that these birds felt so comfortable in my presence. Didn’t they know Thanksgiving was coming up? Didn’t they know I was planning to eat a relative of theirs? Didn’t they fear that they could end up on the menu? Apparently not. I ventured off the porch and walked out among the feathered creatures. They hardly noticed me. If I got within a few feet of any of them, the flock would saunter away in the opposite direction. But rather than cackling, flapping their wings, and scattering… they just casually strolled away – putting a little extra distance between us. “Pretty darned relaxed,” I thought – for turkeys to be so fearless and complacent this close to Thanksgiving. They reminded me of investors… On Monday, the Volatility Index (VIX) – the best tool for measuring fear in the marketplace – traded at 23. That’s the lowest it’s been in about three months. And this is happening despite a lackluster earnings season, rising interest rates, the global economy tumbling headfirst into a recession, and the massive fraud unraveling the cryptocurrency market. And just like the frolicking turkeys in my backyard, investors are relaxed – maybe too relaxed. Of course, that’s what happens when the stock market bounces hard for a few weeks. That’s what happens when the financial television talking heads turn universally bullish. And when nearly everyone expects Santa to show up. Investors, like country club turkeys, stop worrying about the potential dangers of their environment. Free Trading Resources Have you checked out Jeff's free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career – at zero cost to you. Just click here to check it out. | Lately, we’ve been frequently warning about the danger of complacency. But when stocks are running higher, no one really wants to hear that sort of thing. It’s kind of like the grandmother who hurries through the sand to tell all the teenagers at the beach party to wear sunscreen… The teenagers nod politely and thank her for the advice, but then they roll their eyes once she moves on. Of course, at the end of the day, someone always gets burned. Periods of low volatility are ALWAYS followed by periods of high volatility (and vice versa). Right about the time you feel the most comfortable… well… that’s probably about the time where you have the most risk. The talking heads in the financial media are suggesting there’s nothing to worry about. They’re relaxed… comfortable… and completely unprepared for any sort of downside action. Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos & More Billionaires buying $4 Stock But at this point, it may make more sense to cackle, flap our wings wildly, and scatter in all directions. Otherwise, we might end up as coyote food. Best regards and good trading, Jeff Clark In Case You Missed It… Black Friday Offer: Stock market predictions shared for $19 Ph.D. Economist and Investor Nomi Prins is releasing details on her next stunning prediction… It involves “liquid energy” that is promising to trigger an energy revolution 117x bigger than all of the hottest tech trends combined. Even the world’s richest billionaires are investing in the tiny company behind it. And today, you can get in on this cutting-edge financial research at an incredible price tailor-made for Black Friday. Today, you can get Nomi’s latest stock market prediction for just $19. That’s $180 off the regular price of $199 for a full year of financial research in the Distortion Report for just $19. While most people spend money on Black Friday… Wouldn’t it be nice to potentially make money with Nomi’s latest stock market prediction? Get it now here. | | |
0 Comments